World civilization is based on oil. The world is
running out of oil. The oil companies and governments are not
telling the truth about how close we are to the end. Dick Cheney
knew about peak oil back in 1999 when he spoke to the London
Petroleum Institute as Halliburton CEO. He predicted it would come
in 2010. After that it's just a matter of years before it runs out.
Whoever controls the remaining oil determines who lives and who
dies.
Sixty percent of this oil is under a triangular area of the Middle
East the size of Kansas. In that speech Cheney said: "The Middle
East with two thirds of the world's oil and the lowest cost, is
still where the prize ultimately lies."
This small Middle East triangle encompasses the northeast of Saudi
Arabia, all of Iraq and the southwestern part of Iran, along with
Kuwait, Qatar and the Emirates. The US controls Iraq. It has
friendly governments in the other states.
Iran is the exception. The US now surrounds Iran.
Controlling an area the size of Kansas shouldn't be a problem for
the U.S. military, except that it is heavily populated and many
people in the triangle don't want the Americans there and are
willing to fight.
It's been known for at least thirty years that America needs
alternative energy sources. But instead of an alternative energy
plan we got the invasion of Iraq by oilmen wedded to a dying
business, willing to kill hundreds of thousands to cling to the last
drop. The US is never leaving the region or withdrawing from Iraq.
McCain is right about staying, but 100 years is too long. The oil
won't last that long.
Iran is next. Lieberman set up Petraeus to testify last week that
Iranian-backed groups are murdering hundreds of American servicemen
in Iraq. On Friday Gates called Iran's influence in Iraq "malign"
and Bush said if Iran keeps meddling in Iraq "then we'll deal with
them." They are building their case for war with resolutions in the
Senate and at the UN. It's only western Iran, from the Iraq border
to 150 miles inside the country that the U.S. will have to occupy.
That's where Iran's oil is. But the U.S. will have a nasty battle on
their hands in Iran even if they restore a Shah-like puppet in
Tehran 30 years after the revolution.
The Saudis would not mind seeing the Iranian regime go. But the
Saudis may also be on the list. The US may have to destabilize and
control Saudi Arabia some day too. The Wall Street Journal a few
years ago revealed that in the 1970s under Nixon, Kissinger had
plans drawn up for the US invasion and occupation of the Saudi oil
fields. Those plans can be dusted off.
The American oil wars are being launched out of weakness, not
strength. The American economy is teetering and without control of
the remaining oil it will collapse. There will be massive chaos in
any case, when only enough oil remains for the American elite and
whomever they choose to share it with.
That will leave an oil-starved China and India, both with nuclear
weapons, with no alternative but to bow to America or go to war.
It's not about greed any more. It's about survival. Because the
leadership of this country was initially too greedy to switch from
oil to solar, wind, geothermal and other renewable alternatives, it
may now be too late. Had the hundreds of billions of dollars poured
into the invasion and occupation of Iraq been put into alternative
energy the world might have had a fighting chance. Now that is far
from certain.
What is certain is that these wars are not about democracy. They are
not about WMD. The coming one will not even be about Iran's nuclear
weapons project. It's about the oil, stupid.