Bob Fitrakis
Wisconsin: None dare call it vote rigging
June 14, 2012
If vote-rigging prospers, none may call it vote-rigging. It
simply becomes the new norm. Once again, the universal laws of
statistics apply only outside U.S. borders. The recall vote in
Wisconsin produced another significant 7% discrepancy between
the unadjusted exit poll and the so-called "recorded vote." In
actual social science, this level of discrepancy, with the
results being so far outside the expected margin of error would
not be accepted.
When I took Ph.D. statistics to secure my doctorate in political
science, we were taught to work through the rubric, sometime
referred to as HISMISTER. The "H" stood for an explanation of
the discrepancy rooted in some historical intervention, such as
one of the candidates being caught in a public restroom with his
pants down and a "wide stance" soliciting an undercover cop. The
"I" that came next suggested we should check our
instrumentation, that is, are the devices adequately reporting
the data?
Here's where U.S. elections become laughable. A couple of
private companies, count our votes with secret proprietary
hardware and software, the most notable being ES&S. Every
standard of election transparency is routinely violated in the
U.S. electronic version of faith-based voting. How the
corporate-dominated media deals with the issue is by "adjusting
the exit polls." They simply assume the recorded vote on easily
hacked and programmed private machines are correct and that the
international gold standard for detecting election fraud – exit
polls – must be wrong.
They are not going to go through the rest of the acronym and
check to see if the Sample makes sense, that the right
Measurements are being taken, or whether or not there's been a
breakdown in Implementing the exit polling. They won't check to
see if the representative Size of the polling numbers are
accurate, or if there are problems with the pollster's
Technique, or if there was human Error, or if there's just bad
Recording going on.
Of course, the machines could be recording wrong because they
are programmed for an incorrect outcome. The easiest people to
convince regarding the absurdity of electronic voting with
private proprietary hardware and software are the computer
programmers across the political spectrum. Statisticians and
mathematicians also readily comprehend the obvious nature of
rigged elections.
One of my favorite mathematicians is Richard Charnin, who on his
website using readily available public information, calculates
the odds of the so-called ‘red shift" occurring from the 1988 to
2008 presidential elections. The red shift refers to the
overwhelming pick up of votes by the Republican Party in
recorded votes over what actual voters report to exit pollsters.
See Richard Charnin's article
In Charnin's analysis of exit poll data, we can say with a 95%
confidence level – that means in 95 out of 100 elections – that
the exit polls will fall within a statistically predictable
margin of error. Charnin looked at 300 presidential state exit
polls from 1988 to 2008, 15 state elections would be expected to
fall outside the margin of error. Shockingly, 137 of the 300
state presidential exit polls fell outside the margin of error.
What is the probability of this happening?
"One in one million trillion trillion trlllion trillion trillion
trillion," said Charnin.
More statistical proof of Republican operatives, zealots and
sympathizers tampering with the vote is found in the fact that
132 of the elections fell outside the margin in favor of the
GOP. We would expect eight.
Say you have a fair coin to flip. We would expect that if we
flip that coin there would be an even split between heads and
tails – or in this case, Republicans and Democrats. Election
results falling outside the margin of error should be equally
split between both parties. Yet, only five times, less than
expected, did the extra votes fall in the direction of the
Democratic Party.
So what are the odds? According to Charnin, of 132 out of 300
state presidential elections exceeding the margin of error in
the direction of the Republicans – one in 600 trillion trillion
trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion.
The corporate-owned media does not want to mention that the
problems with the exit polls began with the ascendancy of the
former CIA Director George Herbert Walker Bush to the presidency
in 1988. It is also that year when the non-transparent
push-and-pray voting machines were introduced in the New
Hampshire primary by Bush ally John Sununu. Bush, who rigged
elections for the CIA throughout the Third World did
unexpectedly well where the voting machines were brought in.
In any other election outside the U.S., the U.S. State
Department would condemn the use of the these highly riggable
machines based on the discrepancy in the exit polls. It's
predictable what would happen if an anti-U.S. KGB agent in some
former Soviet Central Asian republic picked up an unexplained 5%
of the votes at odds with the exit polls. A new election would
be called for, as it was in the Ukraine in 2004. We would not
have accepted the reported vote from the corrupt intelligence
officer.
The CIA Director's son wins with laughable exit poll
discrepancies in 2000 and 2004 and the mainstream media sees no
evil. The media's perspective is to discredit the exit polls,
which they sponsor, and call any who points to the unadjusted,
or actual, polls "conspiracy theorists."
In 2004, 22 states had a red shift to the CIA Director's son,
George W. Bush. Usually such improbably results are signs of a
Banana Republic. Now we have a too-close-to-call neck and neck
recall race in Wisconsin that show an obvious red shift for a
right-wing red governor. Nobody wants to look at the
non-transparent black box machines. Electronic election rigging
has prospered. Democracy is dead. Long live the "adjusted" vote
totals.
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Bob Fitrakis has a Ph.D. in political science and a J.D. He is
an election law attorney, professor, and has written four books
on election integrity.
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